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Demographic Transition

topic v1.0.0 2026-04-05 Agent-extracted

How societies move from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates, examining the demographic dividend, urbanization effects, and the relationship between mortality decline and fertility transition.

Download .pax.tar.gz 2.1 KB

Domain: Demographic Transition Theory

How societies move from high birth/death rates to low birth/death rates and the economic consequences

Period: 1950-present Population: Countries worldwide Level: macro

Overview

6
Constructs
2
Engines

Constructs

population_growth_rate Population Growth Rate

Annual rate of change in total population, including natural increase and net migration. In growth models, higher population growth dilutes per-capita capital.

life_expectancy_at_birth Life Expectancy at Birth

The average number of years a newborn is expected to live if current mortality rates remain constant, reflecting overall population health and development

fertility_rate Total Fertility Rate

The average number of children a woman would bear over her lifetime if current age-specific fertility rates remained constant throughout her childbearing years

dependency_ratio Age Dependency Ratio

The ratio of dependents (people younger than 15 or older than 64) to the working-age population (ages 15-64), expressed as a percentage

urbanization_rate Urbanization Rate

The percentage of a country's total population residing in urban areas as defined by national statistical offices, reflecting structural economic transformation

infant_mortality_rate Infant Mortality Rate

The number of deaths of infants under one year of age per 1,000 live births in a given year, a sensitive indicator of population health and development

Engines

ols_regression correlation_matrix

Sources

Ronald Lee (2003). The Demographic Transition: Three Centuries of Fundamental Change DOI
Oded Galor, David N. Weil (2000). Population, Technology, and Growth: From Malthusian Stagnation to the Demographic Transition and Beyond DOI
David Bloom, David Canning, Jaypee Sevilla (2003). The Demographic Dividend: A New Perspective on the Economic Consequences of Population Change DOI
Tim Dyson (2010). Population and Development: The Demographic Transition

Tags

topicdemographic-transition

Details

Domain: Demographic Transition Theory

How societies move from high birth/death rates to low birth/death rates and the economic consequences

Temporal scope: 1950-present | Population: Countries worldwide

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Determinants of long-run economic growth including physical capital accumulation, human capital, population growth, and total factor productivity. Built on Solow (1956), Barro (1991), and Mankiw-Romer-Weil (1992).

6 constructs 4 engines playbooks
field 1.6 KB

Installation

Install this PAX into your Praxis instance:

praxis_import_pax("demographic-transition.pax.tar.gz", install=True)